Three consecutive H2H draws in the SuperLiga form a strong structural pattern that the market underestimates. OFK Beograd's 3-1 win vs Partizan elevated their model win probability to 38.86%, but this obscures a critical tactical reality: these teams have matched perfectly in recent meetings. IMT's away scoring rate averages just 0.80 goals per game, while OFK's defensive record suggests low-scoring contests at home. Bookmakers price the Draw at 2.90 (34% implied), yet historical evidence and defensive structure suggest ~36-38% true probability. OFK's market price of 2.35 (43% implied) overstates their likelihood—the model prediction of 38.86% is already generous. The Draw offers value as the most probable outcome when accounting for H2H precedent and the teams' current form trajectory.