Analysis21 October 2026 · Vantip Editorial Team · 1 min read
Newcastle United 0-1 Aston Villa: Match Review
Newcastle United 0–1 Aston Villa (England - Premier League): how our pick did and what the numbers said before kick-off.
England - Premier League
Newcastle United
VS
Aston Villa
Result
Newcastle United 0–1 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 17 Oct 2026. Our pick on this match lost. The result stays on our public track record either way.
What the numbers said before kick-off
- Bookmaker's probability (margin removed): 42%
- Vantip's confidence: 42%
- Edge: none. Our figure matched the bookmaker's, so this was a pick on the market price, not a value bet.
- Odds when we published: 2.22
- Closing odds: 2.32. The market moved against us: our odds were 4.3% lower than the close.
Form going in
Newcastle United L-W-L-W-D (2W 1D 2L); Aston Villa W-D-W-W-W (4W 1D 0L).
Vantip's Record Here
- England - Premier League: 31 wins, 27 losses on 58 settled Football tips (53% win rate, voids excluded).
- 1X2 market, all Football competitions: 233 wins, 196 losses (54% win rate).
Our Betting Take
Vantip's pick for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: Newcastle United to Win at 2.22 (1X2). Result: lost.
Read the tip
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa
England - Premier League
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Written by the Vantip Editorial Team. See how we analyse matches and build our predictions.
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