Italy - Serie A · 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Result: Won (4–4)
Atalanta host Frosinone in the Italy - Serie A on 25 Oct 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Atalanta L-L-W-W-L (2W 3L); Frosinone W-L-W-W-D (3W 1D 1L).
Every settled tip is public on the track record.
Atalanta's defensive injury list is the specific fact behind this pick. Hien, Kossounou, Scalvini and Kolasinac are all out, and so are Kessié, Raspadori, Sulemana and Pompei. Sarri has to start Obric, a 20-year-old, in central defence alongside Kristensen. That pairing lost to Milan 3-2 and Ajax 2-0 in the last two games. Atalanta have also kept only one clean sheet in the league this season. Frosinone are close to full strength, with only Grillitsch missing. They have a settled attack: Raimondo is the Serie A top scorer, supported by Schmid, Kvernadze and Ghedjemis. Atalanta should still score against a promoted side, and they scored in each of their last five games bar the two shutout losses to Juventus and Ajax. Both sides scoring in 3 of their last 5 matches fits the price. The market already prices the defensive crisis at about 69%, so I add only a small premium. The independent model's 1X2 numbers are close to the market, so they say nothing about this market. Value is small.
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