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Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction

NHL Β· 10 Oct 2026 Β· 23:00 UTC Β· Result: Lost (3–6)

πŸ’NHL
Oct 10 Β· 11:00 PM UTC
AvalancheVSMaple Leafs
Moneyline
Avalanche to Win
ODDS
1.72
Bookie: 58%
πŸ”’ Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"Colorado is the most likely winner at home, and the 54.1% market price matches the independent model's 53.5%, so there is no model gap. The Avalanche are 3-1-0 and have started strongly on offence: MacKinnon has 8 points in 4 games and Makar and Schwartz have 6 each. Toronto is missing Tavares, who is out on paternity leave. Nick Paul will cover his second-line role, and Miles Wood was recalled from the Marlies. Oliver Ekman-Larsson is a game-time decision after a late hit in Vegas. Anthony Stolarz is expected to start in goal after Bobrovsky made 40 saves on Thursday in a shootout loss. Colorado's only notable absence is O'Connor, a depth forward who is unlikely to play. Tavares's absence is public and probably already in the price, so I add one point at most. The Avalanche price looks essentially fair. Value is none to very small, and the draw (regulation tie) at about 20.7% is the main risk in this three-way market."

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Match preview

Avalanche host Maple Leafs in the NHL on 10 Oct 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC. Recent form: Avalanche W-L-W-L-W (3W 2L); Maple Leafs L-W-L-W-L (2W 3L).

Vantip's record in NHL

  • NHL: 70 wins, 40 losses (64% win rate, voids excluded).
  • Moneyline market across all NHL: 70 wins, 40 losses (64% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
Avalanche
LLWLW
Maple Leafs
WWLLL
Avalanche β€” last 5
20 OctDevils4 - 3Avalanche
19 OctFlyers3 - 2Avalanche
17 OctAvalanche5 - 2Penguins
15 OctAvalanche2 - 3Stars
14 OctStars2 - 3Avalanche
Maple Leafs β€” last 5
20 OctBlue Jackets2 - 6Maple Leafs
19 OctMaple Leafs3 - 1Sharks
17 OctMaple Leafs1 - 4Islanders
15 OctMaple Leafs4 - 5Sabres
14 OctMammoth5 - 4Maple Leafs
Head-to-head β€” last 5
10 OctAvalanche3 - 6Maple Leafs
25 JanMaple Leafs1 - 4Avalanche
19 MarMaple Leafs2 - 1Avalanche
09 MarAvalanche7 - 4Maple Leafs
25 FebAvalanche3 - 4Maple Leafs
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.

AI Match Analysis

Colorado is the most likely winner at home, and the 54.1% market price matches the independent model's 53.5%, so there is no model gap. The Avalanche are 3-1-0 and have started strongly on offence: MacKinnon has 8 points in 4 games and Makar and Schwartz have 6 each. Toronto is missing Tavares, who is out on paternity leave. Nick Paul will cover his second-line role, and Miles Wood was recalled from the Marlies. Oliver Ekman-Larsson is a game-time decision after a late hit in Vegas. Anthony Stolarz is expected to start in goal after Bobrovsky made 40 saves on Thursday in a shootout loss. Colorado's only notable absence is O'Connor, a depth forward who is unlikely to play. Tavares's absence is public and probably already in the price, so I add one point at most. The Avalanche price looks essentially fair. Value is none to very small, and the draw (regulation tie) at about 20.7% is the main risk in this three-way market.

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