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AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction

UEFA Europa League · 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Result: Won (2–1)

⚽UEFA Europa League
Oct 15 · 4:45 PM UTC
AZ AlkmaarVSHapoel Beer Sheva
1X2
AZ Alkmaar to Win
ODDS
1.32
Bookie: 76%
🔒 Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"AZ Alkmaar's 1X2 price at 1.32 (71.2% implied) closely matches the independent model's 72.73% prediction. The market correctly reflects AZ's 16-match unbeaten home run, strong venue advantage, and Hapoel's operational disadvantage (forced to play away from Israel throughout their European campaign). While both teams have injury concerns (AZ missing Hornkamp, Hapoel missing Ventura), these are already priced into the odds. The away win probability of 11.7% is slightly elevated above the model's 10.67%, but this minor gap does not constitute value. This selection remains the most likely outcome, and the odds look fair rather than exploitable."

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Match preview

AZ Alkmaar host Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Europa League on 15 Oct 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC. Recent form: AZ Alkmaar L-W-L-D-W (2W 1D 2L); Hapoel Beer Sheva W-W-D-W-L (3W 1D 1L).

Vantip's record in UEFA Europa League

  • UEFA Europa League: 42 wins, 47 losses (47% win rate, voids excluded).
  • 1X2 market across all Football: 234 wins, 197 losses (54% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
AZ Alkmaar
WDWLW
Hapoel Beer Sheva
LWLWW
AZ Alkmaar — last 5
22 OctArarat-Armenia0 - 4AZ Alkmaar
18 OctCambuur2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
15 OctAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Hapoel Beer Sheva
10 OctFeyenoord2 - 0AZ Alkmaar
20 SeptAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Telstar
Hapoel Beer Sheva — last 5
22 OctUnion Saint-Gilloise4 - 0Hapoel Beer Sheva
18 OctHapoel Beer Sheva2 - 1Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem
15 OctAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Hapoel Beer Sheva
10 OctIroni Tiberias0 - 2Hapoel Beer Sheva
19 SeptHapoel Beer Sheva1 - 0Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Head-to-head — last 1
15 OctAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Hapoel Beer Sheva
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.

AI Match Analysis

AZ Alkmaar's 1X2 price at 1.32 (71.2% implied) closely matches the independent model's 72.73% prediction. The market correctly reflects AZ's 16-match unbeaten home run, strong venue advantage, and Hapoel's operational disadvantage (forced to play away from Israel throughout their European campaign). While both teams have injury concerns (AZ missing Hornkamp, Hapoel missing Ventura), these are already priced into the odds. The away win probability of 11.7% is slightly elevated above the model's 10.67%, but this minor gap does not constitute value. This selection remains the most likely outcome, and the odds look fair rather than exploitable.

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