Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction
Brazil - Serie A · 11 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Result: Lost (1–0)
Oct 11 · 10:30 PM UTC
BahiaVS
MirassolOver/Under Goals
Over 3.5 Goals
AI ANALYSIS
"Bahia are strong home favourites chasing continental qualification with a potent attack (43 league goals, Luciano with 9). Mirassol arrive severely weakened: defender João Victor suspended plus attackers Negueba and José Aldo sidelined. In their last three meetings, both teams scored in every game. Mirassol's recent form shows activity (7 goals in 5 games) but their depleted defence faces a high-volume crossing threat from Bahia (412 crosses). The market prices Over 3.5 at only 34.4%, treating this as a low-scoring contest, but the defensive absences and attacking asymmetry suggest 4+ goals is more probable than the odds reflect. Small value lies in backing the Over."
Match preview
Bahia host Mirassol in the Brazil - Serie A on 11 Oct 2026, kick-off 22:30 UTC. Recent form: Bahia L-L-W-W-W (3W 2L); Mirassol D-W-W-D-W (3W 2D 0L).
Vantip's record in Brazil - Serie A
- Brazil - Serie A: 17 wins, 16 losses (52% win rate, voids excluded).
- Over/Under Goals market across all Football: 120 wins, 80 losses (60% win rate).
Every settled tip is public on the track record.
Form & Head-to-Head
Bahia — last 5
18 OctBahia0 - 3Flamengo
11 OctBahia1 - 0Mirassol
09 OctPalmeiras1 - 0Bahia
20 SeptAthletico Paranaense2 - 1Bahia
14 SeptBahia2 - 1Remo
Mirassol — last 5
16 OctMirassol2 - 0Internacional
11 OctBahia1 - 0Mirassol
07 OctRB Bragantino1 - 1Mirassol
27 SeptUberlândia0 - 4Mirassol
19 SeptMirassol2 - 0Botafogo
Head-to-head — last 4
11 OctBahia1 - 0Mirassol
11 AprMirassol1 - 2Bahia
31 AugMirassol5 - 1Bahia
13 AprBahia1 - 1Mirassol
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.
AI Match Analysis
Bahia are strong home favourites chasing continental qualification with a potent attack (43 league goals, Luciano with 9). Mirassol arrive severely weakened: defender João Victor suspended plus attackers Negueba and José Aldo sidelined. In their last three meetings, both teams scored in every game. Mirassol's recent form shows activity (7 goals in 5 games) but their depleted defence faces a high-volume crossing threat from Bahia (412 crosses). The market prices Over 3.5 at only 34.4%, treating this as a low-scoring contest, but the defensive absences and attacking asymmetry suggest 4+ goals is more probable than the odds reflect. Small value lies in backing the Over.
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