NFL · 29 Sep 2026 · 00:15 UTC · Result: Lost (27–7)
Bears host Eagles in the NFL on 29 Sep 2026, kick-off 00:15 UTC. Recent form: Bears 1-1 (vs MIN loss recent); Eagles 2-0 (vs TEN W most recent).
Every settled tip is public on the track record.
Eagles enter at 2-0 with a dominant 2024 season and Super Bowl victory behind them, while the Bears are 1-1 after a loss to Minnesota and face a crippling QB injury. Caleb Williams is ruled out with a Grade 2 hamstring strain, forcing Case Keenum or Tyson Bagent (if available) into Monday's game—a severe downgrade in offensive quality. The model projects Eagles at 64.58% win probability, slightly below market odds of 68% (1.48), indicating odds are fairly priced. Eagles have secondary losses (Brown, Goedert, Johnson) but retain quarterback continuity and superior form. The 3-point gap between model and implied probability is explainable by home-field disadvantage for Philadelphia, but the QB situation heavily favours the visitors. This is a near-neutral value play; Eagles should win, but the odds accurately reflect their advantage.
This tip is for informational purposes only. Betting involves financial risk. Please gamble responsibly. 18+.
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