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Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare Prediction

Liga II · 5 Aug 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Result: Lost (1–1)

⚽Liga II
PREMIUM
Aug 5 · 3:00 PM UTC
DumbrăviţaVSCSM Satu Mare
Win to Nil
Dumbrăvița to Win to Nil
ODDS
2.85
Bookie: 35%
🔒 Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"Dumbrăvița faces newly promoted CSM Olimpia Satu Mare, a team that gained Liga 2 status only on July 31 after Hermannstadt's withdrawal. Olimpia had minimal preparation time and drops from Liga 3 into the second tier for their opening fixture. Dumbrăvitza had poor form (9W-5D-14L) last season but shows recent momentum with wins over Afumati (1-0) and Resita (2-0), averaging 1.20 goals per five-game sample. Home advantage on Stadionul Ștefan Dobay provides edge. The implied 79% win probability via 1.27 odds overvalues Dumbrăvitza in straight 1X2 markets, but Win to Nil extracts genuine value: Olimpia's organizational disruption post-promotion, coupled with their Liga 3 defensive resume, suggests Dumbrăvitza can impose control and prevent away goals. The independent model (70.8% home win) aligns directionally but understates organizational advantage. Win to Nil at ~2.85 reflects ~35% probability, reasonable given Olimpia's instability and Dumbrăvitza's solid recent defensive record."

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Match preview

Dumbrăviţa host CSM Satu Mare in the Liga II on 5 Aug 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Dumbrăviţa W-W-D-D-L; Liga 3 pre-season: mixed.

Vantip's record in Liga II

  • Liga II: 2 wins, 3 losses (40% win rate, voids excluded).
  • Win to Nil market across all Football: 64 wins, 101 losses (39% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
Dumbrăviţa
LLLLL
CSM Satu Mare
DDLLD
Dumbrăviţa — last 5
17 OctDumbrăviţa0 - 2Bihor Oradea
10 OctCetatea Suceava3 - 1Dumbrăviţa
22 SeptDumbrăviţa0 - 2CSM Reşiţa
12 SeptDumbrăviţa0 - 2Slatina
06 SeptFC Bacau6 - 1Dumbrăviţa
CSM Satu Mare — last 5
17 OctCSM Satu Mare0 - 0Metalul Buzău
10 OctCS Dinamo Bucuresti2 - 2CSM Satu Mare
01 OctCFR 1907 Cluj2 - 1CSM Satu Mare
19 SeptCSM Satu Mare0 - 2CS Afumați
12 SeptMetaloglobus1 - 1CSM Satu Mare
Head-to-head — last 3
05 AugDumbrăviţa1 - 1CSM Satu Mare
04 AprCSM Satu Mare3 - 2Dumbrăviţa
04 OctCSM Satu Mare1 - 4Dumbrăviţa
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.

AI Match Analysis

Dumbrăvița faces newly promoted CSM Olimpia Satu Mare, a team that gained Liga 2 status only on July 31 after Hermannstadt's withdrawal. Olimpia had minimal preparation time and drops from Liga 3 into the second tier for their opening fixture. Dumbrăvitza had poor form (9W-5D-14L) last season but shows recent momentum with wins over Afumati (1-0) and Resita (2-0), averaging 1.20 goals per five-game sample. Home advantage on Stadionul Ștefan Dobay provides edge. The implied 79% win probability via 1.27 odds overvalues Dumbrăvitza in straight 1X2 markets, but Win to Nil extracts genuine value: Olimpia's organizational disruption post-promotion, coupled with their Liga 3 defensive resume, suggests Dumbrăvitza can impose control and prevent away goals. The independent model (70.8% home win) aligns directionally but understates organizational advantage. Win to Nil at ~2.85 reflects ~35% probability, reasonable given Olimpia's instability and Dumbrăvitza's solid recent defensive record.

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