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Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris Kaunas Prediction

Euroleague · 13 Oct 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Result: Won (99–80)

🏀Euroleague
PREMIUM
Oct 13 · 5:45 PM UTC
FenerbahceVSZalgiris Kaunas
Moneyline
Fenerbahce to Win
ODDS
1.30
Bookie: 77%
🔒 Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"Fenerbahce is the most likely winner, and the 1.30 price looks fair. The independent model gives the home side 67.5% before any draw allowance, which is below the market's 72.9%. Basketball has no real draw, so the model's 6.4% draw share would mostly go to the favourite once removed. That puts the model's two-way home figure at roughly 72%, in line with the market. Fenerbahce reached the EuroLeague playoffs last season and played Zalgiris in that series. Home court in Istanbul is a real edge in this matchup. Zalgiris' latest injury report (Round 4 at Barcelona) listed Nigel Williams-Goss and Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu as out and Saben Lee as a game-time decision. Fenerbahce's report listed Onuralp Bitim as a game-time decision for Round 4, and Shane Larkin had not yet played in the EuroLeague this season. No lineup or injury report for this game is confirmed, so none of this justifies moving off the market. There is no value to claim: the favourite is likely to win, but the price already reflects that."

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Match preview

Fenerbahce host Zalgiris Kaunas in the Euroleague on 13 Oct 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC. Recent form: Fenerbahce W-L-W-W-W (4W 1L); Zalgiris Kaunas W-W-L-L-W (3W 2L).

Vantip's record in Euroleague

  • Euroleague: 26 wins, 18 losses (59% win rate, voids excluded).
  • Moneyline market across all Basketball: 74 wins, 35 losses (68% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
Fenerbahce
LWWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLWW
Fenerbahce — last 5
18 OctFenerbahce77 - 82Petkim Spor
15 OctFenerbahce74 - 65Partizan Mozzart Bet
13 OctFenerbahce99 - 80Zalgiris Kaunas
10 OctÇayırova Belediyesi85 - 100Fenerbahce
08 OctPanathinaikos92 - 74Fenerbahce
Zalgiris Kaunas — last 5
18 OctZalgiris Kaunas96 - 76Taurage
16 OctZalgiris Kaunas70 - 85Anadolu Efes Istanbul
13 OctFenerbahce99 - 80Zalgiris Kaunas
11 OctNevėžis-OPTIBET Kedainiai76 - 80Zalgiris Kaunas
09 OctBarcelona Bàsquet81 - 88Zalgiris Kaunas
Head-to-head — last 5
13 OctFenerbahce99 - 80Zalgiris Kaunas
08 MayZalgiris Kaunas90 - 94Fenerbahce
06 MayZalgiris Kaunas81 - 78Fenerbahce
30 AprFenerbahce86 - 74Zalgiris Kaunas
28 AprFenerbahce89 - 78Zalgiris Kaunas
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.
Read the analysis
Fenerbahce 99-80 Zalgiris Kaunas: Match Review
→

AI Match Analysis

Fenerbahce is the most likely winner, and the 1.30 price looks fair. The independent model gives the home side 67.5% before any draw allowance, which is below the market's 72.9%. Basketball has no real draw, so the model's 6.4% draw share would mostly go to the favourite once removed. That puts the model's two-way home figure at roughly 72%, in line with the market. Fenerbahce reached the EuroLeague playoffs last season and played Zalgiris in that series. Home court in Istanbul is a real edge in this matchup. Zalgiris' latest injury report (Round 4 at Barcelona) listed Nigel Williams-Goss and Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu as out and Saben Lee as a game-time decision. Fenerbahce's report listed Onuralp Bitim as a game-time decision for Round 4, and Shane Larkin had not yet played in the EuroLeague this season. No lineup or injury report for this game is confirmed, so none of this justifies moving off the market. There is no value to claim: the favourite is likely to win, but the price already reflects that.

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