Italy - Serie A · 8 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Result: Lost (2–2)
Fiorentina host Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 8 Nov 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Fiorentina W-D-L-L-L (1W 1D 3L); Juventus W-W-L-W-D (3W 1D 1L).
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Juventus are priced at 46.8% win probability, marginally below the independent model's 45.89% prediction. The market appropriately values Juventus as favourites despite significant injury depth concerns affecting midfield control—Locatelli and Thuram absent until March and January respectively, with McKennie doubtful. Fiorentina's recent 4-2 win at Sassuolo provided momentum but their season-long form remains poor: one win in their last five matches with persistent defensive issues (2.25 conceded per home game). Centre-back depth is critical with Pongračić out and Ranieri's fitness uncertain; only Viery and Dragusin confirmed available. However, Fiorentina have three extra days rest compared to Juventus's midweek European fixture. Juventus's established quality, higher league position (7th vs 18th), and better squad depth outweigh the fatigue factor and lineup absences.
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