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Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Virtus Bologna Prediction

Euroleague · 21 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Result: Won (90–81)

🏀Euroleague
PREMIUM
21 Oct · 16:00 UTC
Hapoel Tel AvivVSVirtus Bologna
Moneyline
Hapoel Tel Aviv to Win
ODDS
1.30
Bookie: 77%
🔒 Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"Hapoel Tel Aviv is the favourite at home in this EuroLeague Round 6 game, and the 1.30 price looks fair. The independent model puts Hapoel at about 72% for the win once the small draw probability is set aside. That is close to the market's 73.5%, so there is no meaningful gap to exploit. Home court and a deeper EuroLeague-level roster support the favourite. Hapoel also have a little more squad news in their favour, because Tomer Ginat was upgraded to available for Round 5 after a long knee absence. Bar Timor missed the Round 5 trip through illness, and his status for this game is unconfirmed. Virtus added Kevin Kokila, who made his debut in Round 4 after missing the first three rounds. I found no confirmed injury, suspension or rotation fact in the last 48 hours that would justify moving the price. Hapoel is still the most likely winner, but the price already reflects that. I see no value in either direction and no specific reason to adjust."

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Match preview

Hapoel Tel Aviv host Virtus Bologna in the Euroleague on 21 Oct 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC. Recent form: Hapoel Tel Aviv W-W-W-W-L (4W 1L); Virtus Bologna W-W-W-W-W (5W 0L).

Vantip's record in Euroleague

  • Euroleague: 32 wins, 23 losses (58% win rate, voids excluded).
  • Moneyline market across all Basketball: 87 wins, 43 losses (67% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
Hapoel Tel Aviv
WLWLW
Virtus Bologna
LLLWL
Hapoel Tel Aviv — last 5
01 NovMaccabi Tel Aviv87 - 105Hapoel Tel Aviv
30 OctDubai97 - 83Hapoel Tel Aviv
28 OctHapoel Tel Aviv118 - 88Anadolu Efes Istanbul
25 OctHapoel Tel Aviv60 - 70Hapoel Jerusalem
21 OctHapoel Tel Aviv90 - 81Virtus Bologna
Virtus Bologna — last 5
02 NovVirtus Bologna93 - 100Trieste Pallacanestro
30 OctVirtus Bologna101 - 103Beşiktaş
28 OctVirtus Bologna74 - 91Zalgiris Kaunas
25 OctOlimpia Milano94 - 98Virtus Bologna
21 OctHapoel Tel Aviv90 - 81Virtus Bologna
Head-to-head — last 3
21 OctHapoel Tel Aviv90 - 81Virtus Bologna
19 MarHapoel Tel Aviv109 - 91Virtus Bologna
12 DecVirtus Bologna74 - 79Hapoel Tel Aviv
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.
Read the analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv 90-81 Virtus Bologna: Match Review

AI Match Analysis

Hapoel Tel Aviv is the favourite at home in this EuroLeague Round 6 game, and the 1.30 price looks fair. The independent model puts Hapoel at about 72% for the win once the small draw probability is set aside. That is close to the market's 73.5%, so there is no meaningful gap to exploit. Home court and a deeper EuroLeague-level roster support the favourite. Hapoel also have a little more squad news in their favour, because Tomer Ginat was upgraded to available for Round 5 after a long knee absence. Bar Timor missed the Round 5 trip through illness, and his status for this game is unconfirmed. Virtus added Kevin Kokila, who made his debut in Round 4 after missing the first three rounds. I found no confirmed injury, suspension or rotation fact in the last 48 hours that would justify moving the price. Hapoel is still the most likely winner, but the price already reflects that. I see no value in either direction and no specific reason to adjust.

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