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HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Result: Won (2–1)

⚽UEFA Europa Conference League
PREMIUM
15 Oct · 16:45 UTC
HNK Hajduk SplitVSAjax
Both Teams to Score
Both Teams to Score - Yes
ODDS
1.70
Bookie: 59%
🔒 Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"Ajax are the favourites, but BTTS Yes is the market where a checkable fact points to a price that is slightly too low. Ajax are without defenders Daley Blind (back), Caio Henrique (hip/thigh) and Anton Gaaei, and forward Kasper Dolberg is out with a cruciate ligament tear. They have conceded in five consecutive matches and have kept no clean sheet in that run. Hajduk have scored in nine straight home games and are unbeaten in all nine this season (W7, D2). They have also scored 2+ goals in their last five European home games, though those were qualifiers. Michele Sego has six European goals this season. Marko Livaja is reported absent with a hamstring injury, though one preview lists him as back. Dolberg's absence trims Ajax's attack only slightly, since Ajax have scored in all 14 of their competitive games. Past Hajduk-Ajax meetings have not produced both teams scoring, but that is a small sample. The independent model has Ajax at 62.4% to win, which is consistent with Ajax scoring but says little about whether Hajduk score. I see small value: about three points above the market price."

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Match preview

HNK Hajduk Split host Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 Oct 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC. Recent form: HNK Hajduk Split W-L-W-W-W (4W 1L); Ajax D-D-W-W-L (2W 2D 1L).

Vantip's record in UEFA Europa Conference League

  • UEFA Europa Conference League: 66 wins, 40 losses (62% win rate, voids excluded).
  • Both Teams to Score market across all Football: 53 wins, 46 losses (54% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
HNK Hajduk Split
WDWWW
Ajax
WWWWL
HNK Hajduk Split — last 5
31 OctHNK Hajduk Split5 - 0HNK Gorica
26 OctIstra 19612 - 2HNK Hajduk Split
22 OctFC Thun0 - 1HNK Hajduk Split
18 OctHNK Hajduk Split1 - 0NK Varaždin
15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 - 1Ajax
Ajax — last 5
31 OctAjax1 - 0AZ Alkmaar
25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 - 2Ajax
22 OctAjax2 - 0Atalanta
18 OctGroningen2 - 5Ajax
15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 - 1Ajax
Head-to-head — last 1
15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 - 1Ajax
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.

AI Match Analysis

Ajax are the favourites, but BTTS Yes is the market where a checkable fact points to a price that is slightly too low. Ajax are without defenders Daley Blind (back), Caio Henrique (hip/thigh) and Anton Gaaei, and forward Kasper Dolberg is out with a cruciate ligament tear. They have conceded in five consecutive matches and have kept no clean sheet in that run. Hajduk have scored in nine straight home games and are unbeaten in all nine this season (W7, D2). They have also scored 2+ goals in their last five European home games, though those were qualifiers. Michele Sego has six European goals this season. Marko Livaja is reported absent with a hamstring injury, though one preview lists him as back. Dolberg's absence trims Ajax's attack only slightly, since Ajax have scored in all 14 of their competitive games. Past Hajduk-Ajax meetings have not produced both teams scoring, but that is a small sample. The independent model has Ajax at 62.4% to win, which is consistent with Ajax scoring but says little about whether Hajduk score. I see small value: about three points above the market price.

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