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HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Result: Won (2–1)

⚽UEFA Europa Conference League
PREMIUM
Oct 15 · 4:45 PM UTC
HNK Hajduk SplitVSAjax
Both Teams to Score
Both Teams to Score - Yes
ODDS
1.70
Bookie: 59%
🔒 Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"Ajax are the favourites, but BTTS Yes is the market where a checkable fact points to a price that is slightly too low. Ajax are without defenders Daley Blind (back), Caio Henrique (hip/thigh) and Anton Gaaei, and forward Kasper Dolberg is out with a cruciate ligament tear. They have conceded in five consecutive matches and have kept no clean sheet in that run. Hajduk have scored in nine straight home games and are unbeaten in all nine this season (W7, D2). They have also scored 2+ goals in their last five European home games, though those were qualifiers. Michele Sego has six European goals this season. Marko Livaja is reported absent with a hamstring injury, though one preview lists him as back. Dolberg's absence trims Ajax's attack only slightly, since Ajax have scored in all 14 of their competitive games. Past Hajduk-Ajax meetings have not produced both teams scoring, but that is a small sample. The independent model has Ajax at 62.4% to win, which is consistent with Ajax scoring but says little about whether Hajduk score. I see small value: about three points above the market price."

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Match preview

HNK Hajduk Split host Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 Oct 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC. Recent form: HNK Hajduk Split W-L-W-W-W (4W 1L); Ajax D-D-W-W-L (2W 2D 1L).

Vantip's record in UEFA Europa Conference League

  • UEFA Europa Conference League: 66 wins, 40 losses (62% win rate, voids excluded).
  • Both Teams to Score market across all Football: 48 wins, 41 losses (54% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
HNK Hajduk Split
WWWLW
Ajax
WLDDW
HNK Hajduk Split — last 5
18 OctHNK Hajduk Split1 - 0NK Varaždin
15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 - 1Ajax
10 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 - 1Dinamo Zagreb
20 SeptHNK Rijeka3 - 0HNK Hajduk Split
13 SeptHNK Hajduk Split1 - 0NK Slaven Belupo
Ajax — last 5
18 OctGroningen2 - 5Ajax
15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 - 1Ajax
10 OctAjax1 - 1NEC Nijmegen
19 SeptAjax2 - 2Excelsior
15 SeptAjax5 - 1Willem II
Head-to-head — last 1
15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 - 1Ajax
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.

AI Match Analysis

Ajax are the favourites, but BTTS Yes is the market where a checkable fact points to a price that is slightly too low. Ajax are without defenders Daley Blind (back), Caio Henrique (hip/thigh) and Anton Gaaei, and forward Kasper Dolberg is out with a cruciate ligament tear. They have conceded in five consecutive matches and have kept no clean sheet in that run. Hajduk have scored in nine straight home games and are unbeaten in all nine this season (W7, D2). They have also scored 2+ goals in their last five European home games, though those were qualifiers. Michele Sego has six European goals this season. Marko Livaja is reported absent with a hamstring injury, though one preview lists him as back. Dolberg's absence trims Ajax's attack only slightly, since Ajax have scored in all 14 of their competitive games. Past Hajduk-Ajax meetings have not produced both teams scoring, but that is a small sample. The independent model has Ajax at 62.4% to win, which is consistent with Ajax scoring but says little about whether Hajduk score. I see small value: about three points above the market price.

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