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Liberia vs Mali Prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 29 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Result: Won (0–1)

⚽Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Sep 29 · 7:00 PM UTC
LiberiaVSMali
Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
ODDS
1.88
Bookie: 53%
🔒 Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"Mali's recent form is alarming—0 wins in their last 5 AFCON matches with only 3 goals scored. They rank 54th globally but have become toothless in attack (0.6 goals/match), despite solid defense (0.8 conceded/game). Liberia, ranked 140th, surprisingly lead their AFCON qualification group but have won only 1 of 5 recent matches. This is a low-scoring group fixture in African competition. Mali's attacking drought combined with Liberia's defensive fragility and the typical conservative tempo of AFCON qualifiers point to few goals. Liberia's home advantage (likely) may keep the match tight. The implied probability for Under 2.5 is roughly 50–52% at standard odds; with Mali's form collapse and Liberia's cautious approach, 59% confidence offers modest but genuine value."

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Match preview

Liberia host Mali in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 29 Sep 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Liberia 1W-2D-2L; Mali 0W-3D-2L.

Vantip's record in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

  • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification: 14 wins, 25 losses (36% win rate, voids excluded).
  • Over/Under Goals market across all Football: 120 wins, 80 losses (60% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
Liberia
LLWLD
Mali
DWWLD
Liberia — last 5
29 SeptLiberia0 - 1Mali
25 SeptRwanda3 - 1Liberia
09 JunLiberia3 - 1Sierra Leone
06 JunSierra Leone1 - 0Liberia
31 MarLiberia2 - 2Libya
Mali — last 5
04 OctMorocco1 - 1Mali
29 SeptLiberia0 - 1Mali
25 SeptMali3 - 1Cape Verde
04 JunIran2 - 0Mali
31 MarRussia0 - 0Mali
Head-to-head — last 1
29 SeptLiberia0 - 1Mali
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.

AI Match Analysis

Mali's recent form is alarming—0 wins in their last 5 AFCON matches with only 3 goals scored. They rank 54th globally but have become toothless in attack (0.6 goals/match), despite solid defense (0.8 conceded/game). Liberia, ranked 140th, surprisingly lead their AFCON qualification group but have won only 1 of 5 recent matches. This is a low-scoring group fixture in African competition. Mali's attacking drought combined with Liberia's defensive fragility and the typical conservative tempo of AFCON qualifiers point to few goals. Liberia's home advantage (likely) may keep the match tight. The implied probability for Under 2.5 is roughly 50–52% at standard odds; with Mali's form collapse and Liberia's cautious approach, 59% confidence offers modest but genuine value.

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