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Mirassol vs São Paulo FC Prediction

Brazil - Serie A · 24 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Result: Won (1–1)

⚽Brazil - Serie A
24 Oct · 19:30 UTC
MirassolVSSão Paulo FC
Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
ODDS
1.78
Bookie: 56%
🔒 Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"The main fact is the attacking absences on both sides. São Paulo are without Calleri and Artur, their two forwards, who did light work during the week and stayed in São Paulo. Dorival Júnior is likely to rebuild the front line or add midfield cover, with Lucas Moura possibly returning after his Achilles injury. Mirassol lose André Luís to a suspension for his third yellow card, and Negueba is injured. Coach Guanaes may switch to a 4-3-3. The last meeting, in the 13th round, finished 1-0 to São Paulo. The independent model (home 40.9%, draw 28.8%, away 30.4%) matches the market 1X2 almost exactly, so there is no model gap. The case for Under 2.5 comes from São Paulo's reduced attacking options. Mirassol are also close to the relegation zone and have a reason to play cautiously. The value is small. The price already reflects a lot of this, and I am adding only a modest three points to the market's 52.5%."

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Match preview

Mirassol host São Paulo FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 24 Oct 2026, kick-off 19:30 UTC. Recent form: Mirassol W-L-D-W-W (3W 1D 1L); São Paulo FC W-W-L-L-W (3W 2L).

Vantip's record in Brazil - Serie A

  • Brazil - Serie A: 31 wins, 17 losses (65% win rate, voids excluded).
  • Over/Under Goals market across all Football: 141 wins, 90 losses (61% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
Mirassol
LDWLD
São Paulo FC
LDWWL
Mirassol — last 5
30 OctCorinthians2 - 0Mirassol
24 OctMirassol1 - 1São Paulo FC
16 OctMirassol2 - 0Internacional
11 OctBahia1 - 0Mirassol
07 OctRB Bragantino1 - 1Mirassol
São Paulo FC — last 5
29 OctBahia3 - 2São Paulo FC
24 OctMirassol1 - 1São Paulo FC
18 OctSão Paulo FC1 - 0Vasco DA Gama
11 OctSão Paulo FC2 - 1Vitoria
08 OctCruzeiro2 - 0São Paulo FC
Head-to-head — last 5
24 OctMirassol1 - 1São Paulo FC
26 AprSão Paulo FC1 - 0Mirassol
11 JanMirassol3 - 0São Paulo FC
19 OctMirassol3 - 0São Paulo FC
24 MaySão Paulo FC0 - 2Mirassol
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.

AI Match Analysis

The main fact is the attacking absences on both sides. São Paulo are without Calleri and Artur, their two forwards, who did light work during the week and stayed in São Paulo. Dorival Júnior is likely to rebuild the front line or add midfield cover, with Lucas Moura possibly returning after his Achilles injury. Mirassol lose André Luís to a suspension for his third yellow card, and Negueba is injured. Coach Guanaes may switch to a 4-3-3. The last meeting, in the 13th round, finished 1-0 to São Paulo. The independent model (home 40.9%, draw 28.8%, away 30.4%) matches the market 1X2 almost exactly, so there is no model gap. The case for Under 2.5 comes from São Paulo's reduced attacking options. Mirassol are also close to the relegation zone and have a reason to play cautiously. The value is small. The price already reflects a lot of this, and I am adding only a modest three points to the market's 52.5%.

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