UEFA Europa League · 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Result: Lost (1–1)
NEC Nijmegen host Levski Sofia in the UEFA Europa League on 15 Oct 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC. Recent form: NEC Nijmegen D-D-L-L-D (0W 3D 2L); Levski Sofia L-D-L-W-W (2W 1D 2L).
Every settled tip is public on the track record.
NEC Nijmegen -0.5 is effectively a bet on a home win. The market prices that at 50.8%, and the independent model gives NEC 50.19%, so the price looks fair. NEC play at the Goffertstadion in Europa League round 2. Levski are a Bulgarian league side with a mixed recent run of 2 wins in their last 5. NEC are missing Emre Mor, Deveron Fonville and Ahmetcan Kaplan through injury, and Levski are without Radoslav Kirilov and Akram Bouras. Fonville and Kaplan were listed as short-term or day-to-day, and no confirmed lineups are available. Neither list clearly favours one side. NEC also come off a draw away at Ajax, which extended their unbeaten run. This is the most likely outcome in the 1X2 sense, but the model and the market agree, and the 25% draw chance caps the upside. I see no value here: the price is fair, and the pick rests on home advantage and NEC being the stronger side.
This tip is for informational purposes only. Betting involves financial risk. Please gamble responsibly. 18+.
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