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New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC Prediction

Major League Soccer · 19 Aug 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Result: Won (0–1)

⚽Major League Soccer
PREMIUM
Aug 19 · 11:30 PM UTC
New York Red BullsVSNashville SC
1X2
Nashville SC to Win
ODDS
2.20
Bookie: 45%
🔒 Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"Nashville SC represents the statistical edge despite home odds. The visitors lead the Eastern Conference with 43 points from 13-2-4 record, significantly outpacing the Red Bulls' eighth-place 7-8-4 form. Most recent displays: Nashville defeated Inter Miami 4-1, while New York lost 2-1 to Atlanta. Samuel Surridge's exceptional efficiency (12 goals in 909 minutes) and Hany Mukhtar's creative dominance (24 chances created) represent the league's most dangerous attack. The Red Bulls face injuries to Rafael Mosquera and AJ Marcucci, compounding a form advantage for Nashville. Home advantage at Sports Illustrated Stadium typically values 0.3-0.4 goals but proves insufficient against Nashville's established superiority. The independent model predicts Nashville at 41.62% win probability; market odds imply 45%, creating modest value. Confidence capped at 72 due to home advantage's modest buffer and inherent MLS volatility."

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Match preview

New York Red Bulls host Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer on 19 Aug 2026, kick-off 23:30 UTC. Recent form: New York Red Bulls: L-W-D-W-L; Nashville SC: W-W-L-D-W.

Vantip's record in Major League Soccer

  • Major League Soccer: 3 wins, 2 losses (60% win rate, voids excluded).
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Form & Head-to-Head
New York Red Bulls
LLWLW
Nashville SC
DWWWW
New York Red Bulls — last 5
17 OctNew York Red Bulls0 - 2Toronto FC
14 OctDC United2 - 1New York Red Bulls
10 OctNew York Red Bulls4 - 1San Diego
30 SeptNew York Red Bulls0 - 3St. Louis City SC
18 SeptNew York City FC0 - 1New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC — last 5
18 OctSan Jose Earthquakes1 - 1Nashville SC
15 OctNashville SC4 - 0Sporting Kansas City
11 OctAustin1 - 4Nashville SC
27 SeptNashville SC2 - 0Toronto FC
20 SeptNashville SC3 - 0Chicago Fire
Head-to-head — last 5
19 AugNew York Red Bulls0 - 1Nashville SC
15 MayNashville SC2 - 1New York Red Bulls
02 MarNew York Red Bulls2 - 0Nashville SC
15 JunNew York Red Bulls0 - 0Nashville SC
24 FebNashville SC0 - 0New York Red Bulls
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.

AI Match Analysis

Nashville SC represents the statistical edge despite home odds. The visitors lead the Eastern Conference with 43 points from 13-2-4 record, significantly outpacing the Red Bulls' eighth-place 7-8-4 form. Most recent displays: Nashville defeated Inter Miami 4-1, while New York lost 2-1 to Atlanta. Samuel Surridge's exceptional efficiency (12 goals in 909 minutes) and Hany Mukhtar's creative dominance (24 chances created) represent the league's most dangerous attack. The Red Bulls face injuries to Rafael Mosquera and AJ Marcucci, compounding a form advantage for Nashville. Home advantage at Sports Illustrated Stadium typically values 0.3-0.4 goals but proves insufficient against Nashville's established superiority. The independent model predicts Nashville at 41.62% win probability; market odds imply 45%, creating modest value. Confidence capped at 72 due to home advantage's modest buffer and inherent MLS volatility.

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