UEFA Nations League · 26 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Result: Won (0–3)
North Macedonia host Switzerland in the UEFA Nations League on 26 Sep 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC. Recent form: North Macedonia 0W-1D-4L; Switzerland 3W-1D-1L.
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Switzerland arrive as heavy favourites against a struggling North Macedonia side in League B of the Nations League. North Macedonia have won just once in eight matches, conceding 15 goals across their last five outings while scoring a mere one goal—a defensive and attacking collapse that manager Sedloski has failed to rectify. Conversely, Switzerland recorded a World Cup quarter-final campaign and boast 60% recent form (3W from 5), scoring 9 goals in that span. The absence of Xhaka and Embolo weakens Switzerland's midfield and attack, but squad depth remains superior; North Macedonia lose both Churlinov and Serafimov, further thinning an already depleted group. No head-to-head history exists between these nations. The independent model forecasts Switzerland at 67.17% win probability; the 1X2 odds price the away win at 71%. Draw No Bet at 1.58 eliminates draw risk while offering superior odds to the 1.40 1X2 line, capturing the favourite with a modest but tangible edge. Confidence is calibrated to the small gap between the model and implied probability—the form data supports a Swiss win, but tight odds reflect market efficiency.
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