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Packers vs Bears Prediction

NFL · 11 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Result: Lost (31–7)

🏈NFL
Oct 11 · 5:00 PM UTC
PackersVSBears
Moneyline
Bears to Win
ODDS
1.67
Bookie: 60%
🔒 Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"The Bears are 3-1 with superior offensive production (28 PPG vs 18 PPG) and currently on a 2-game win streak, including a recent playoff victory over the Packers. However, Caleb Williams is confirmed OUT with a hamstring injury for the third straight game, and their entire starting offensive line is compromised (Braxton Jones on IR; Wright, Thuney, Jackson all non-participants). The Packers, at 2-2 with poor offensive efficiency and 0-1 at home, are underdogs for sound reasons. The model suggests Bears win 54.16% vs market 57.4%—a small gap. Despite the confirmed injuries, the market has already adjusted for them through the public narrative and bookmaker moves. The line appears fair: the Bears remain favorites due to team quality and form, but backup QB play against a division rival on the road with injuries creates real risk. No hidden value detected."

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Match preview

Packers host Bears in the NFL on 11 Oct 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.

Vantip's record in NFL

  • NFL: 24 wins, 27 losses (47% win rate, voids excluded).
  • Moneyline market across all NFL: 25 wins, 29 losses (46% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
Packers
WWWLW
Bears
WLWWL
Packers — last 5
19 OctPackers23 - 13Cowboys
11 OctPackers31 - 7Bears
04 OctBuccaneers14 - 17Packers
25 SeptPackers14 - 35Falcons
20 SeptJets17 - 20Packers
Bears — last 5
18 OctFalcons23 - 31Bears
11 OctPackers31 - 7Bears
04 OctBears23 - 12Jets
29 SeptBears27 - 7Eagles
20 SeptBears3 - 9Vikings
Head-to-head — last 5
11 OctPackers31 - 7Bears
11 JanBears31 - 27Packers
21 DecBears22 - 16Packers
07 DecPackers28 - 21Bears
05 JanPackers22 - 24Bears
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.

AI Match Analysis

The Bears are 3-1 with superior offensive production (28 PPG vs 18 PPG) and currently on a 2-game win streak, including a recent playoff victory over the Packers. However, Caleb Williams is confirmed OUT with a hamstring injury for the third straight game, and their entire starting offensive line is compromised (Braxton Jones on IR; Wright, Thuney, Jackson all non-participants). The Packers, at 2-2 with poor offensive efficiency and 0-1 at home, are underdogs for sound reasons. The model suggests Bears win 54.16% vs market 57.4%—a small gap. Despite the confirmed injuries, the market has already adjusted for them through the public narrative and bookmaker moves. The line appears fair: the Bears remain favorites due to team quality and form, but backup QB play against a division rival on the road with injuries creates real risk. No hidden value detected.

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