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Panathinaikos vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction

Euroleague Β· 16 Oct 2026 Β· 18:15 UTC Β· Result: Lost (81–91)

πŸ€Euroleague
Oct 16 Β· 6:15 PM UTC
PanathinaikosVSHapoel Tel Aviv
Moneyline
Panathinaikos to Win
ODDS
1.27
Bookie: 79%
πŸ”’ Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"Panathinaikos is the most likely winner, and the 1.27 price looks fair. The market gives them 73.9% and the independent model gives 70.7% (about 76% once the 6% draw share is removed and the rest is renormalised). That is no gap in Panathinaikos' favour, so there is no model-based edge. The home side has the stronger EuroLeague roster and home court. The Round 5 injury report said Juancho Hernangomez, Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas were out for Rounds 3 and 4. It gave no confirmed status for this game, so I am not treating it as a fact. Panathinaikos also played at Partizan on Tuesday, October 13, and Hapoel played Besiktas on Wednesday, October 14. Both teams have a short turnaround, so neither has a rest edge. Hapoel has Tomer Ginat out with a knee injury. No lineup, rotation or suspension fact is confirmed for this game, so I make no adjustment. At this price there is no value, because a short-priced favourite needs a clear reason to back and none is confirmed."

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Match preview

Panathinaikos host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Euroleague on 16 Oct 2026, kick-off 18:15 UTC. Recent form: Panathinaikos W-W-W-W-W (5W 0L); Hapoel Tel Aviv W-L-W-W-W (4W 1L).

Vantip's record in Euroleague

  • Euroleague: 26 wins, 18 losses (59% win rate, voids excluded).
  • Moneyline market across all Basketball: 74 wins, 35 losses (68% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
Panathinaikos
WWLWW
Hapoel Tel Aviv
WWWWW
Panathinaikos β€” last 5
22 OctPanathinaikos85 - 79Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
18 OctPanathinaikos95 - 75Peristeri BC
16 OctPanathinaikos81 - 91Hapoel Tel Aviv
13 OctPartizan Mozzart Bet55 - 72Panathinaikos
10 OctPromitheas Patras59 - 84Panathinaikos
Hapoel Tel Aviv β€” last 5
21 OctHapoel Tel Aviv90 - 81Virtus Bologna
18 OctHapoel Tel Aviv81 - 67Maccabi Ashdod B.C.
16 OctPanathinaikos81 - 91Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 OctHapoel Tel Aviv100 - 82Beşiktaş
11 OctHapoel Be'er Sheva82 - 95Hapoel Tel Aviv
Head-to-head β€” last 3
16 OctPanathinaikos81 - 91Hapoel Tel Aviv
02 AprHapoel Tel Aviv92 - 88Panathinaikos
18 DecPanathinaikos93 - 82Hapoel Tel Aviv
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.

AI Match Analysis

Panathinaikos is the most likely winner, and the 1.27 price looks fair. The market gives them 73.9% and the independent model gives 70.7% (about 76% once the 6% draw share is removed and the rest is renormalised). That is no gap in Panathinaikos' favour, so there is no model-based edge. The home side has the stronger EuroLeague roster and home court. The Round 5 injury report said Juancho Hernangomez, Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas were out for Rounds 3 and 4. It gave no confirmed status for this game, so I am not treating it as a fact. Panathinaikos also played at Partizan on Tuesday, October 13, and Hapoel played Besiktas on Wednesday, October 14. Both teams have a short turnaround, so neither has a rest edge. Hapoel has Tomer Ginat out with a knee injury. No lineup, rotation or suspension fact is confirmed for this game, so I make no adjustment. At this price there is no value, because a short-priced favourite needs a clear reason to back and none is confirmed.

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