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Rangers vs Lightning Prediction

NHL Β· 13 Oct 2026 Β· 23:15 UTC Β· Result: Lost (4–1)

πŸ’NHL
Oct 13 Β· 11:15 PM UTC
RangersVSLightning
Moneyline
Lightning to Win
ODDS
2.35
Bookie: 43%
πŸ”’ Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"Tampa Bay is the most likely single winner here. The independent model (41.0%) agrees with the market (41.2%), so there is no model gap. The main factual difference is in goal. Shesterkin was ruled out for the season after hurting his right knee in a 3-1 loss at Washington, and Korpisalo is on injured reserve with a lower-body injury. That leaves 24-year-old Dylan Garand, who was on waivers before the season and went unclaimed, as the presumptive starter. He made 19 saves in a 6-2 win over Vancouver. The Lightning have Vasilevskiy and a 4-1 start with a +4 goal differential (16 scored, 12 allowed). Tampa has its own injuries, with Yanni Gourde (hip) and Emil Lilleberg out. The Rangers are 5-2, are 4-0 at home, and scored seven in the last meeting at Tampa in November. The Shesterkin news was public two days ago, so the market has most likely absorbed it. I add a small two points to the Lightning, and there is little to no real value in this price."

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Match preview

Rangers host Lightning in the NHL on 13 Oct 2026, kick-off 23:15 UTC. Recent form: Rangers W-L-W-W-W (4W 1L); Lightning W-W-W-W-L (4W 1L).

Vantip's record in NHL

  • NHL: 70 wins, 40 losses (64% win rate, voids excluded).
  • Moneyline market across all NHL: 70 wins, 40 losses (64% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
Rangers
WLLWW
Lightning
WWWLW
Rangers β€” last 5
19 OctRangers5 - 2Ducks
17 OctBlue Jackets1 - 0Rangers
15 OctDevils7 - 1Rangers
13 OctRangers4 - 1Lightning
11 OctRangers6 - 2Canucks
Lightning β€” last 5
21 OctGolden Knights2 - 6Lightning
17 OctLightning4 - 2Canucks
15 OctLightning4 - 3Kraken
13 OctRangers4 - 1Lightning
10 OctIslanders3 - 5Lightning
Head-to-head β€” last 5
13 OctRangers4 - 1Lightning
01 OctRangers5 - 1Lightning
15 AprLightning2 - 4Rangers
29 NovRangers1 - 4Lightning
17 AprRangers4 - 0Lightning
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.

AI Match Analysis

Tampa Bay is the most likely single winner here. The independent model (41.0%) agrees with the market (41.2%), so there is no model gap. The main factual difference is in goal. Shesterkin was ruled out for the season after hurting his right knee in a 3-1 loss at Washington, and Korpisalo is on injured reserve with a lower-body injury. That leaves 24-year-old Dylan Garand, who was on waivers before the season and went unclaimed, as the presumptive starter. He made 19 saves in a 6-2 win over Vancouver. The Lightning have Vasilevskiy and a 4-1 start with a +4 goal differential (16 scored, 12 allowed). Tampa has its own injuries, with Yanni Gourde (hip) and Emil Lilleberg out. The Rangers are 5-2, are 4-0 at home, and scored seven in the last meeting at Tampa in November. The Shesterkin news was public two days ago, so the market has most likely absorbed it. I add a small two points to the Lightning, and there is little to no real value in this price.

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