Republic of Ireland vs Israel Prediction
UEFA Nations League · 4 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Result: Lost (1–1)
Match preview
Republic of Ireland host Israel in the UEFA Nations League on 4 Oct 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Ireland: 1W-1D-3L (Kosovo 0-1L, Israel 3-0W, Austria 0-0D); Israel: Mixed - recent form includes losses to Austria/Kosovo, beat Ireland 0-1L in Hungary.
Vantip's record in UEFA Nations League
- UEFA Nations League: 25 wins, 19 losses (57% win rate, voids excluded).
- 1X2 market across all Football: 234 wins, 197 losses (54% win rate).
Every settled tip is public on the track record.
AI Match Analysis
The independent model (44.33% home win) aligns closely with the market probability of 44.1%, leaving no meaningful gap. Ireland are heavy favourites following their 3-0 demolition of Israel last month, and Troy Parrott is in exceptional form with six goals in his last six competitive matches. Israel are missing key forward Idan Toklomati and face potential defensive absences. However, Ireland also have defensive absences (Nathan Collins injured, James Abankwah suspended). The market has appropriately priced Ireland's recent dominant form and the fixture's context. No specific injury or lineup change creates actionable value beyond the model's small consensus. The home win remains most likely but the odds appear fair.
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