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St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk Prediction

Premier Division · 24 Jul 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Result: Lost (1–1)

⚽Premier Division
Jul 24 · 7:00 PM UTC
St Patrick's Athl.VSDundalk
1X2
St Patrick's Athletic to Win
ODDS
1.57
Bookie: 64%
🔒 Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"St Patrick's Athletic holds historical home advantage and a superior head-to-head record at Richmond Park (3 wins in last 5 H2H). The independent model projects 58.58% home win probability. However, bookmaker odds at 1.57 imply 64%, leaving only modest 5.4% value. Dundalk arrives in strong form, winning 4 of 5 recent matches before a recent 1-2 defeat to Drogheda. Their defensive solidity (0.6 goals conceded per game recently) poses genuine threats. St Patrick's testing recent form against quality opposition and fixture congestion context remain ambiguous from available data. The home odds represent fair-to-modest value rather than compelling value. Confidence reflects genuine probability edge rather than exceptional margin."

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Match preview

St Patrick's Athl. host Dundalk in the Premier Division on 24 Jul 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC. Recent form: St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athletic 3W-1D-1L; Dundalk 4W-0D-1L (recent momentum).

Vantip's record in Premier Division

  • 1X2 market across all Football: 234 wins, 197 losses (54% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
St Patrick's Athl.
LLWWW
Dundalk
DLLLD
St Patrick's Athl. — last 5
19 OctDerry City1 - 0St Patrick's Athl.
16 OctSt Patrick's Athl.1 - 2Shelbourne
19 SeptSligo Rovers0 - 1St Patrick's Athl.
14 SeptDundalk0 - 4St Patrick's Athl.
11 SeptSt Patrick's Athl.2 - 0Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk — last 5
17 OctSligo Rovers1 - 1Dundalk
02 OctDundalk1 - 2Bohemians
18 SeptDundalk2 - 3Shelbourne
14 SeptDundalk0 - 4St Patrick's Athl.
11 SeptWaterford1 - 1Dundalk
Head-to-head — last 5
14 SeptDundalk0 - 4St Patrick's Athl.
24 JulSt Patrick's Athl.1 - 1Dundalk
06 AprDundalk2 - 0St Patrick's Athl.
27 FebSt Patrick's Athl.4 - 0Dundalk
05 SeptDundalk1 - 2St Patrick's Athl.
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.

AI Match Analysis

St Patrick's Athletic holds historical home advantage and a superior head-to-head record at Richmond Park (3 wins in last 5 H2H). The independent model projects 58.58% home win probability. However, bookmaker odds at 1.57 imply 64%, leaving only modest 5.4% value. Dundalk arrives in strong form, winning 4 of 5 recent matches before a recent 1-2 defeat to Drogheda. Their defensive solidity (0.6 goals conceded per game recently) poses genuine threats. St Patrick's testing recent form against quality opposition and fixture congestion context remain ambiguous from available data. The home odds represent fair-to-modest value rather than compelling value. Confidence reflects genuine probability edge rather than exceptional margin.

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