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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul Prediction

Euroleague · 16 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Result: Lost (70–85)

🏀Euroleague
Oct 16 · 5:00 PM UTC
Zalgiris KaunasVSAnadolu Efes Istanbul
Moneyline
Zalgiris Kaunas to Win
ODDS
1.34
Bookie: 75%
🔒 Confidence & value ratingsStarter+
AI ANALYSIS

"Zalgiris Kaunas remains the most likely outcome according to both market and model, but the 6.3-point gap between market probability (70.2%) and model prediction (63.86%) suggests the bookmaker may be overweighting home advantage. Anadolu Efes are strong visitors in EuroLeague competition and lead the head-to-head 11-4, indicating this is a more competitive fixture than the odds imply. Zalgiris' loss of Saben Lee to a hamstring injury is already reflected in recent form. The home win is still favoured, but the model's more conservative estimate of ~64% is closer to fair value than the market's 70% pricing."

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Match preview

Zalgiris Kaunas host Anadolu Efes Istanbul in the Euroleague on 16 Oct 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Zalgiris Kaunas L-W-W-W-L (3W 2L); Anadolu Efes Istanbul W-L-W-L-W (3W 2L).

Vantip's record in Euroleague

  • Euroleague: 26 wins, 18 losses (59% win rate, voids excluded).
  • Moneyline market across all Basketball: 74 wins, 35 losses (68% win rate).

Every settled tip is public on the track record.

Form & Head-to-Head
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLWW
Anadolu Efes Istanbul
LWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas — last 5
18 OctZalgiris Kaunas96 - 76Taurage
16 OctZalgiris Kaunas70 - 85Anadolu Efes Istanbul
13 OctFenerbahce99 - 80Zalgiris Kaunas
11 OctNevėžis-OPTIBET Kedainiai76 - 80Zalgiris Kaunas
09 OctBarcelona Bàsquet81 - 88Zalgiris Kaunas
Anadolu Efes Istanbul — last 5
19 OctEsenler Erokspor73 - 70Anadolu Efes Istanbul
16 OctZalgiris Kaunas70 - 85Anadolu Efes Istanbul
14 OctAnadolu Efes Istanbul93 - 101Bayern Munich
11 OctAnadolu Efes Istanbul85 - 76Denizli Basket
09 OctOlympiacos Piraeus89 - 66Anadolu Efes Istanbul
Head-to-head — last 5
16 OctZalgiris Kaunas70 - 85Anadolu Efes Istanbul
06 FebAnadolu Efes Istanbul92 - 82Zalgiris Kaunas
17 DecZalgiris Kaunas64 - 87Anadolu Efes Istanbul
11 AprAnadolu Efes Istanbul87 - 77Zalgiris Kaunas
05 DecZalgiris Kaunas85 - 72Anadolu Efes Istanbul
Form data via Highlightly. Recent results only; not a prediction.
Read the analysis
Zalgiris Kaunas vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul Prediction
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AI Match Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas remains the most likely outcome according to both market and model, but the 6.3-point gap between market probability (70.2%) and model prediction (63.86%) suggests the bookmaker may be overweighting home advantage. Anadolu Efes are strong visitors in EuroLeague competition and lead the head-to-head 11-4, indicating this is a more competitive fixture than the odds imply. Zalgiris' loss of Saben Lee to a hamstring injury is already reflected in recent form. The home win is still favoured, but the model's more conservative estimate of ~64% is closer to fair value than the market's 70% pricing.

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