How to Read a Tip Page: A Worked Example, From Pick to Result

A Vantip tip page packs a lot of information into a small space. This guide walks through each part using an illustrative example. It is not a real Vantip pick, and its numbers are chosen to show how each figure works.

The example

Illustrative example, not a Vantip pick.

• Match: Team A vs Team B, 20:00 kick-off
• Market: Over/under goals
• Pick: Over 2.5 goals
• Odds: 1.90
• Model: 55%
• Bookie: 53%
• Edge: +2%
• Value: 2 dots out of 5
• Result: 3-1, win

1. The market and the pick

The market is the question being asked, and the pick is the answer. Here the question is how many goals will be scored, and the pick is three or more. Always read the market first, because the same match can carry many different bets. See betting markets explained.

2. The odds

The odds of 1.90 are the price available when the tip was published. A 1 stake returns 1.90 if the pick wins, a profit of 0.90. Odds move, so check the price you can actually get before you decide.

3. Confidence and the bookmaker's probability

The odds of 1.90 imply a probability of 1 / 1.90 = 52.6%, shown as 53% in the Bookie figure. The model's confidence of 55% is its estimate that the pick lands. Because our AI starts from the bookmaker's own probability and moves it only for a named reason, confidence usually sits close to the Bookie figure.

4. The edge

Edge is the model's probability minus the bookmaker's: 55% - 53% = +2%. It is an estimate of the gap between our view and the price, not proof of value. A small edge is normal. See value betting explained and expected value in plain English.

5. The value dots

The dots rate the edge from 1 to 5. Because the model usually agrees with the market, most AI tips show 1 or 2 dots. More dots mean a bigger gap between the model and the price, and also a bigger chance that the model is the one that is wrong.

6. The analysis

The written reasoning explains why the pick was chosen, such as recent scoring form for both sides. Read it as an argument you can agree or disagree with. If the reasoning mentions injuries or lineups, check that the news is still current.

7. The result

After the match, the tip is settled. Here the game ended 3-1, which is more than 2.5 goals, so the pick wins. A 1 stake returns 1.90, a profit of 0.90. A tip can also be a loss, or void if the match is cancelled or the line lands exactly on the result, in which case the stake is returned.

What one result tells you

Very little. The pick had about a 55% chance by the model's estimate, so it was always going to lose close to half the time. A win does not prove the model was right, and a loss does not prove it was wrong. What matters is the record over hundreds of tips. See variance and sample size.

Access and timing

Tips are released in stages by plan, and Free accounts see every tip closer to kick-off. See why some tips are locked. Settled tips are public on the Track Record page.

Checklist for any tip

• What is the market, and how does it settle?
• What are the odds, and can I still get them?
• How far is the model's probability from the bookmaker's?
• Is the reasoning sound, and is the news current?
• Can I afford the stake, and have I set a limit?

Vantip Team. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. Betting carries risk; see our Responsible Gambling page.